The long-term course of unmedicated depression
obert Whitaker, author of Mad in America: History, Science, and the Treatment of Psychiatric Disorders, has a blog on the Psychology Today website. Below, Whitaker challenges Louis Menand who, in a recent piece in The New Yorker, misrepresented the efficacy of antidepressants for recovery from depression.
In his March 1 article in the New Yorker, Louis Menand wrote that the NIMH’s STAR*D trial showed that antidepressants produced a 67% recovery rate, which was “far better than the rate for placebo.” As I noted in a previous post, the notion that antidepressants produced a “67% recovery rate” was highly exaggerated. But my focus in this post is on the second part of that statement: What do we really know about the long-term recovery rate for unmedicated depression?
Now answering this question thoroughly involves telling a complicated history of science that has unfolded over the past forty years. It’s a history that I relate in Anatomy of an Epidemic, a book that will be published in April. But here’s a thumbnail version of that history.
In 1921, the great German psychiatrist Emil Kraepelin reported that patients hospitalized with manic-depressive psychosis had fairly good long-term outcomes. “Usually all morbid manifestations completely disappear; but where that is exceptionally not the case, only a rather slight, peculiar psychic weakness develops.”
In a long-term follow-up study, sixty percent of Kraepelin’s 450 “depressed-only” patients experienced but a single episode of depression, and only 13 percent had three or more episodes.
Other investigators in the first half of the 20th century, both in Europe and the United States, reported similar outcomes. In 1972, Samuel Guze at Washington University Medical School reviewed the outcomes literature for depression, and he determined that in follow-up studies that lasted ten
years, 50% of people hospitalized for depression had no recurrence of their illness. Only a small minority — one-in-ten — became chronically ill.
With this evidence in mind, the NIMH regularly advised the public during the 1960s and early 1970s that the long-term course of depression was fairly benign. “Depression is, on the whole, one of the psychiatric conditions with the best prognosis for eventual recovery with or without treatment. Most
depressions are self-limited,” explained the NIMH’s Jonathan Cole in 1964.
In 1969, Washington University psychiatrist George Winokur wrote that “assurances can be given to a patient and to his family that subsequent episodes of illness after a first mania or even a first depression will not tend toward a more chronic course.” Five years later, the NIMH’s Dean
Schuyler concluded that most depressive episodes “will run their course and terminate with virtually complete recovery without specific intervention.”
Given this understanding of the natural course of depression, Schuyler and others reasoned that antidepressants, while they might not significantly boost the recovery rate (which was so naturally high,) they could help quicken the recovery process. Early trials suggested that might be the case,
but then a handful of psychiatrists noticed something odd happening to their drug-treated patients. While they might be recovering more quickly, they were now relapsing more frequently. Were the drugs, one psychiatrist wondered, inducing a “change to a more chronic course?”
In 1973, Dutch psychiatrist J.D. Van Scheyen studied this possibility, and concluded that antidepressant medication “exerts a paradoxical effect on the recurrent nature of the vital depression. In other words, this therapeutic approach was associated with an increase in recurrent rate and a decrease in cycle duration.”
During the next decade, outcome studies regularly found that drug-treated patients were indeed relapsing frequently. This change in the long-term course of depression was so noticeable that, in 1985, a panel of experts convened by the NIMH felt compelled to investigate what was going on.
Here’s what they wrote:
“Improved approaches to the description and classification of [mood] disorders and new epidemiologic studies [have] demonstrated the recurrent and chronic nature of these illnesses, and the extent to which they represent a continual source of distress and dysfunction for affected individuals.”
This explanation — that the old studies must have been flawed — became the accepted wisdom in psychiatry. Not too long ago, the 1999 edition of the American Psychiatric Association’s Textbook of Psychiatry explained, it was believed that “most patients would eventually recover from a major
depression episode. However, more extensive studies have disproved this assumption.”
Indeed, the NIMH now informs the public that “most individuals with major depressive disorders have a chronic course, often with considerable symptomatology and disability even between episodes.”
from an article in http://www.psychologytoday.com/ Published on March 18, 2010
Robert Whitaker is a journalist who writes mostly about medicine and science; his latest book is Anatomy of an Epidemic: Magic Bullets, Psychiatric Drugs, and the Astonishing Rise of Mental Illness in America.
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